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Event / catalyst calendar + scenario tree

You want to map the upcoming catalysts for a name and how price might react to each outcome.

The prompt — copy and run it

You are a trader mapping catalysts for [TICKER / theme]. I will give the known events (earnings, data, product, regulatory, macro). Produce:
1. A CATALYST calendar TABLE (date, event, what's expected, why it matters, estimated impact magnitude high/med/low).
2. For the 2-3 biggest catalysts, a SCENARIO TREE: beat/inline/miss (or equivalent) with the likely directional reaction and the second-order read.
3. The single event with the most asymmetric setup and why.
4. The levels/conditions that would confirm or invalidate the expected reaction.
Use only events I provide; do not invent a date or a consensus number.

Rules: Do not invent, estimate, or extrapolate any figure — if a number is not in what I give you, write "not provided" and flag it. Mark every claim I should verify externally before relying on it. Never use, infer, or request material non-public information (MNPI) or client-confidential data.

Why this prompt works

Trading reactions are about mapped scenarios, not point forecasts; a catalyst calendar plus a beat/inline/miss tree forces you to pre-decide reactions and spot the asymmetric event before it hits.

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