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Relative-value pair thesis + risk legs
You have a relative-value idea and want it stress-tested with the risk legs made explicit.
The prompt — copy and run it
You are a relative-value trader pressure-testing a pair trade: LONG [A] / SHORT [B], rationale [describe]. Produce: 1. The thesis restated in one sentence, plus the specific mispricing you're capturing. 2. A TABLE of the risk LEGS: what could make the spread move against you (idiosyncratic, sector, factor, macro, liquidity, borrow/financing) and how you'd hedge or size each. 3. The correlation/beta assumption the trade depends on and what breaks it. 4. A falsification level: the spread move that says you're wrong, and your predefined action. Use only the data I provide; flag every assumption to verify. Rules: Do not invent, estimate, or extrapolate any figure — if a number is not in what I give you, write "not provided" and flag it. Mark every claim I should verify externally before relying on it. Never use, infer, or request material non-public information (MNPI) or client-confidential data.
Why this prompt works
Pair trades die from the leg you didn't hedge and the correlation that broke; forcing an explicit risk-leg table plus a falsification level is how RV desks avoid a 'convergence' that never comes.
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When should I use this prompt?
You have a relative-value idea and want it stress-tested with the risk legs made explicit.
Why does this prompt work?
Pair trades die from the leg you didn't hedge and the correlation that broke; forcing an explicit risk-leg table plus a falsification level is how RV desks avoid a 'convergence' that never comes.
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