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Variant-perception & edge-durability articulation
You think you have an edge on a name and want to force yourself to state the variant view precisely and why it will persist.
The prompt — copy and run it
You are a buy-side analyst pressure-testing my VARIANT PERCEPTION on [NAME]. Using my notes below, produce: 1. A CONSENSUS-vs-MY-VIEW table: on the 3-4 issues that matter (growth, margins, capital allocation, terminal value, whatever I flag), what the market appears to believe versus my view, and the specific evidence for each side. 2. A SOURCE-OF-EDGE classification: is my edge informational, analytical, or behavioral/time-horizon — and the honest answer to 'why hasn't the market already priced this?' 3. A DURABILITY read: how long the edge likely persists and what erodes it. 4. A FALSIFICATION set: the observations that would prove my variant view wrong. [PASTE MY NOTES] Rules: Do not invent, estimate, or extrapolate any figure — if a number is not in what I give you, write "not provided" and flag it. Mark every claim I should verify externally before relying on it. Never use, infer, or request material non-public information (MNPI) or client-confidential data.
Why this prompt works
A thesis without an articulated variant view and a falsifier is unfalsifiable story-telling; forcing the consensus contrast, the source of edge, and the disproof set turns a hunch into a testable claim.
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When should I use this prompt?
You think you have an edge on a name and want to force yourself to state the variant view precisely and why it will persist.
Why does this prompt work?
A thesis without an articulated variant view and a falsifier is unfalsifiable story-telling; forcing the consensus contrast, the source of edge, and the disproof set turns a hunch into a testable claim.
What mistake does this prompt help you avoid?
PF05
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